{"id":7066,"date":"2019-03-15T12:00:42","date_gmt":"2019-03-15T03:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.enago.com\/academy\/jp\/?p=7066"},"modified":"2020-11-27T19:59:53","modified_gmt":"2020-11-27T10:59:53","slug":"confidence-index-for-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.enago.com\/academy\/jp\/confidence-index-for-results\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\uff0d\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u306f\u9069\u7528\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3079\u304d\u304b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u304b\u306d\u3066\u3088\u308a\u5b66\u8853\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u300c\u518d\u73fe\u6027\u306e\u5371\u6a5f\uff08reproducibility crisis\uff09\u300d\u304c\u554f\u984c\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002Nature\u8a8c\u304c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/1-500-scientists-lift-the-lid-on-reproducibility-1.19970\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">2016\u5e74\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f\u8abf\u67fb\u7d50\u679c<\/a>\u3067\u306f\u300170\uff05\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u304c\u4ed6\u8005\u306e\u5b9f\u9a13\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u518d\u73fe\u3067\u304d\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u534a\u5206\u4ee5\u4e0a\u304c\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u5b9f\u9a13\u3059\u3089\u518d\u73fe\u3067\u304d\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u3046\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u304c\u63fa\u3089\u3044\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3082\u53cd\u8ad6\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u4fe1\u983c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u898b\u629c\u3051\u3070\u3088\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n<div id=\"om-wxx776qo5w3etxr3cpps-holder\"><\/div>\n<p><script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"https:\/\/a.opmnstr.com\/app\/js\/api.min.js\" data-campaign=\"wxx776qo5w3etxr3cpps\" data-user=\"41855\" async><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u3053\u3067\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u306e\u76ee\u5b89\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300c\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u300d\u3084\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u7d50\u679c\uff08\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\uff09\u306e\u59a5\u5f53\u6027\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6a19\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300cp\u5024\uff08\u6709\u610f\u78ba\u7387\uff09\u300d\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u307f\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_74 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">\u76ee\u6b21<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.enago.com\/academy\/jp\/confidence-index-for-results\/#%E4%BF%A1%E9%A0%BC%E5%BA%A6%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E3%81%A8%E3%81%AF%EF%BC%9F\" >\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.enago.com\/academy\/jp\/confidence-index-for-results\/#p%E5%80%A4%EF%BC%88%E6%9C%89%E6%84%8F%E7%A2%BA%E7%8E%87%EF%BC%89%E3%81%A8%E3%81%AF%EF%BC%9F\" >p\u5024\uff08\u6709\u610f\u78ba\u7387\uff09\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.enago.com\/academy\/jp\/confidence-index-for-results\/#%EF%BD%90%E5%80%A4%E3%81%8B%E3%82%89%E5%88%A4%E6%96%AD%E3%81%A7%E3%81%8D%E3%82%8B%E3%81%93%E3%81%A8\" >\uff50\u5024\u304b\u3089\u5224\u65ad\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.enago.com\/academy\/jp\/confidence-index-for-results\/#%E6%AD%A3%E3%81%97%E3%81%84%E5%88%A4%E6%96%AD%E3%82%92%E4%B8%8B%E3%81%99%E3%81%9F%E3%82%81%E3%81%AB%EF%BC%8D%E4%BF%A1%E9%A0%BC%E5%BA%A6%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E3%82%92%E4%BD%B5%E7%94%A8%E3%81%99%E3%82%8B\" >\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u4e0b\u3059\u305f\u3081\u306b\uff0d\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3092\u4f75\u7528\u3059\u308b<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E4%BF%A1%E9%A0%BC%E5%BA%A6%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E3%81%A8%E3%81%AF%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3068\u306f\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\uff08confidence index\uff09\u3068\u306f\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u5185\u5bb9\u306e\u59a5\u5f53\u6027\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u4e8b\u524d\u8a3c\u62e0\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304a\u3088\u3073\u8abf\u67fb\u8005\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u306b\u5177\u4f53\u5316\u3059\u308b\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u3042\u308b\u6cbb\u7642\u6cd5\u3092\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3059\u308b\u5b9f\u9a13\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u3092\u4ee3\u8868\u3059\u308b\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\uff08\u6cbb\u9a13\u306e\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u306a\u3069\uff09\u306f\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u7121\u4f5c\u70ba\u306b\u62bd\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5fc5\u9808\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306f\u3001\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u5b9f\u9a13\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u304b\u3089\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u5168\u4f53\u3078\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u6cbb\u7642\u6cd5\u304c\u3001\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u5168\u4f53\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3069\u306e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306b\u898b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u306e\u3068\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u304b\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6570\u5024\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3010\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3011<br \/>\n\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u306f\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306a\u5909\u6570\u2015\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u672a\u77e5\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u304c\u5b58\u5728<\/li>\n<li>\u4e8b\u524d\u78ba\u7387\u2015\u5229\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u65e2\u5b58\u306e\u60c5\u5831<\/li>\n<li>\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u771f\u3089\u3057\u3055\u2015\u4eee\u8aac\u304c\u771f\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u507d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u306e\u78ba\u7387<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"p%E5%80%A4%EF%BC%88%E6%9C%89%E6%84%8F%E7%A2%BA%E7%8E%87%EF%BC%89%E3%81%A8%E3%81%AF%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>p\u5024\uff08\u6709\u610f\u78ba\u7387\uff09\u3068\u306f\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u3082\u3046\u4e00\u65b9\u306ep\u5024\u3068\u306f\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u304c\u5b9f\u9a13\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u6709\u610f\u5dee\u306e\u5224\u5b9a\u306b\u6163\u7fd2\u7684\u306b\u7528\u3044\u308b\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u3001\u5e30\u7121\u4eee\u8aac\uff08\u3042\u308b\u4eee\u8aac\u304c\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u7acb\u3066\u3089\u308c\u308b\u4eee\u8aac\uff09\u304c\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u3068\u3059\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3070\u3001\u691c\u5b9a\u7d71\u8a08\u91cf\uff08\u89b3\u5bdf\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6570\u5024\uff09\u3068\u540c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u793a\u3059\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u4eee\u8aac\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u3069\u306e\u3050\u3089\u3044\u6574\u5408\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u4eee\u5b9a\uff08\u524d\u63d0\uff09\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u6570\u5024\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3001\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u6570\u306a\u3069\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u8981\u7d20\uff08\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff09\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u5ff5\u982d\u306b\u7f6e\u3044\u3066\u304a\u304f\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3010p\u5024\u3011<br \/>\np\u5024\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u306b\u4f9d\u5b58\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306e\u898f\u6a21\u2015\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306e\u6570\u304c\u591a\u3044\u307b\u3069\u3001\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u6b63\u78ba\u306b\u306a\u308b<\/li>\n<li>\u53cd\u5fdc\u306e\u983b\u5ea6\u2015\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u53cd\u5fdc\u306e\u983b\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u307b\u3069\u3001\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u6b63\u78ba<\/li>\n<li>\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u306e\u6570\u2015\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u3068\u304d\u306e\u307f\u91cd\u8981<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>p\u5024\u306f\u3088\u304f\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7d71\u8a08\u5024\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u4f1a(American Statistical Association: ASA)\u306f\u3001p\u5024\u81ea\u4f53\u306f\u300c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3084\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u6b63\u3057\u3055\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u5c3a\u5ea6\u3068\u3057\u3066\u9069\u5207\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u8b66\u544a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>p\u5024\u304c\u9069\u5207\u306a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3059\u308b\u7406\u7531\uff1dp\u5024\u306b\u306f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u542b\u307e\u308c\u306a\u3044<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u304c\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u3092\u4ee3\u8868\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b<\/li>\n<li>\u691c\u8a0e\u5bfe\u8c61\u306e\u5e30\u7121\u4eee\u8aac\u304c\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u304b\u5426\u304b<\/li>\n<li>\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u62bd\u51fa\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3082\u306e\u304b<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3089\u3082\u3001p\u5024\u3060\u3051\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u57fa\u6e96\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u907f\u3051\u305f\u65b9\u304c\u3088\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%EF%BD%90%E5%80%A4%E3%81%8B%E3%82%89%E5%88%A4%E6%96%AD%E3%81%A7%E3%81%8D%E3%82%8B%E3%81%93%E3%81%A8\"><\/span>\uff50\u5024\u304b\u3089\u5224\u65ad\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>p\u5024\u306e\u7b97\u51fa\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u7701\u304d\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306b\u3001p\u5024\u304c0.05\uff085%\uff09\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308c\u3070\u6709\u610f\u5dee\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u4e0b\u56de\u308c\u3070\u6709\u610f\u5dee\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u306fp\uff1c0.05\uff085%\u672a\u6e80\uff09\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u767a\u8868\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002p\uff1c0.05\u306a\u3089\u3001\u5076\u7136\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u554f\u984c\u306b\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\uff08\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u6709\u52b9\u3067\u3042\u308b\uff09\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u6709\u610f\u5dee\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u89e3\u91c8\u3067\u304d\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3067\u3059\u3002p\u5024\u304c0.05\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u6709\u610f\u5dee\u304c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u89e3\u91c8\u3055\u308c\u308b\u306e\u3067\uff08Not significant: NS\u3068\u8a18\u8f09\u3055\u308c\u308b\uff09\u767a\u8868\u3092\u63a7\u3048\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u3082\u3044\u308b\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002p\u5024\u306e\u95be\u5024\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u4f1a\u304c2016\u5e74\u306b<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amstat.org\/asa\/files\/pdfs\/P-ValueStatement.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u58f0\u660e\u3092\u767a\u8868<\/a>\u3057\u3001p\u5024\u306e\u9069\u5207\u306a\u5229\u7528\u3068\u89e3\u91c8\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u307e\u3068\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u53c2\u7167\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%AD%A3%E3%81%97%E3%81%84%E5%88%A4%E6%96%AD%E3%82%92%E4%B8%8B%E3%81%99%E3%81%9F%E3%82%81%E3%81%AB%EF%BC%8D%E4%BF%A1%E9%A0%BC%E5%BA%A6%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0%E3%82%92%E4%BD%B5%E7%94%A8%E3%81%99%E3%82%8B\"><\/span>\u6b63\u3057\u3044\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u4e0b\u3059\u305f\u3081\u306b\uff0d\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3092\u4f75\u7528\u3059\u308b<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u7c73\u56fd\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u4f1a\u306fp\u5024\u3092\u300c\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u6839\u62e0\u306e\u4ee3\u308f\u308a\u300d\u3068\u305b\u305a\u3001\u300c\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u9069\u5207\u306a\u8a2d\u8a08\u3068\u5b9f\u65bd\u300d\u306a\u3069\u306e\u7a2e\u3005\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u52a0\u5473\u3057\u305f\u4e0a\u3067\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u6709\u52b9\u6027\u3092\u5206\u6790\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3068\u6ce8\u610f\u3092\u559a\u8d77\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u78ba\u304b\u306bp\u5024\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u8b70\u8ad6\u306f\u3001\u5148\u884c\u6587\u732e\u3068\u95a2\u4fc2\u4ed8\u3051\u305f\u3046\u3048\u3067\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u624b\u6cd5\u3084\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u660e\u77ad\u306b\u793a\u3057\u305f\u4e0a\u3067\u53d6\u308a\u6271\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002p\u5024\u306f\u7814\u7a76\u3084\u5b9f\u9a13\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u306b\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u308b\u552f\u4e00\u306e\u624b\u6bb5\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u6b63\u3057\u304f\u8a55\u4fa1\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u60c5\u5831\u3084\u4ed6\u306e\u6307\u6a19\u3092\u4f75\u7528\u3057\u3066\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7c73\u56fd\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30c9\u5927\u5b66\u306eSteven Goodman\u6559\u6388\u306f\u3001\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3057\u3066\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u5b9a\u91cf\u7684\u306b\u8a55\u4fa1\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u308c\u3070\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u660e\u78ba\u306b\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u81e8\u5e8a\u8a66\u9a13\u3092\u6b21\u306e\u6bb5\u968e\u306b\u9032\u3081\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u3068\u304d\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u9650\u754c\u3092\u77e5\u308b\u624b\u304c\u304b\u308a\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3092\u4f75\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308bp\u30cf\u30c3\u30ad\u30f3\u30b0\uff08p\u5024\u3092\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3060\u3051\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u64cd\u4f5c\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3001\u4e0d\u6b63\u306b\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u307e\u3059\uff09\u3092\u9632\u304e\u3001\u5b9f\u8cea\u7684\u306a\u6570\u5024\u3092\u793a\u3059\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3064\u306a\u304c\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002p\u5024\u306f\u4fbf\u5229\u306a\u7d71\u8a08\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u3001\u3072\u3044\u3066\u306f\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u4fa1\u5024\u3092\u88cf\u4ed8\u3051\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u3001p\u5024\u3070\u304b\u308a\u306b\u56da\u308f\u308c\u305a\u3001\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6570\u3068\u4f75\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5f97\u7b56\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u5206\u91ce\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5316\u3068\u7d30\u5206\u5316\u304c\u9032\u3080\u73fe\u72b6\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u5185\u5bb9\u3084\u89b3\u5bdf\u304c\u3088\u308a\u7cbe\u7dfb\u3067\u5fae\u5999\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3068\u306a\u308b\u50be\u5411\u304c\u76ee\u7acb\u3061\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3046\u3057\u305f\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u7d50\u679c\u3084\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u89e3\u6790\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u304c\u3088\u308a\u6c42\u3081\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u518d\u73fe\u6027\u306e\u5371\u6a5f\u3092\u514b\u670d\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u3092\u78ba\u4fdd\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3082\u3001\u518d\u5ea6\u6839\u672c\u306b\u7acb\u3061\u8fd4\u3063\u3066\u8003\u3048\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>\u3053\u3093\u306a\u8a18\u4e8b\u3082\u3069\u3046\u305e<br \/>\n\u30a8\u30ca\u30b4\u5b66\u8853\u82f1\u8a9e\u30a2\u30ab\u30c7\u30df\u30fc\u3000\u5b66\u8853\u30a6\u30a9\u30c3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u304c\u65ac\u308b\uff01<a href=\"https:\/\/www.enago.jp\/academy\/reproducibility-crisis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u300c\u518d\u73fe\u6027\u306e\u5371\u6a5f\u300d\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u300c\u30c1\u30a7\u30c3\u30af\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u300d<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u304b\u306d\u3066\u3088\u308a\u5b66\u8853\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u300c\u518d\u73fe\u6027\u306e\u5371\u6a5f\uff08reproducibility crisis\uff09\u300d\u304c\u554f\u984c\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002Nature\u8a8c\u304c2016\u5e74\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f\u8abf\u67fb\u7d50\u679c\u3067\u306f\u300170\uff05\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u304c\u4ed6\u8005\u306e\u5b9f\u9a13\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u518d\u73fe\u3067\u304d\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u534a\u5206\u4ee5\u4e0a\u304c\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u5b9f\u9a13\u3059\u3089\u518d\u73fe\u3067\u304d\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u3046\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u304c\u63fa\u3089\u3044\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3082\u53cd\u8ad6\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u4fe1\u983c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u898b\u629c\u3051\u3070\u3088\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002 \u305d\u3053\u3067\u4eca\u56de\u306f\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u7d50\u679c\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u6027\u306e\u76ee\u5b89\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300c\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u300d\u3084\u3001\u5b9f\u9a13\u7d50\u679c\uff08\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\uff09\u306e\u59a5\u5f53\u6027\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6307\u6a19\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300cp\u5024\uff08\u6709\u610f\u78ba\u7387\uff09\u300d\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u307f\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3068\u306f\uff1f \u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\uff08confidence index\uff09\u3068\u306f\u3001\u8aac\u660e\u5185\u5bb9\u306e\u59a5\u5f53\u6027\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u4e8b\u524d\u8a3c\u62e0\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304a\u3088\u3073\u8abf\u67fb\u8005\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u3092\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u306b\u5177\u4f53\u5316\u3059\u308b\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u3042\u308b\u6cbb\u7642\u6cd5\u3092\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3059\u308b\u5b9f\u9a13\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u3092\u4ee3\u8868\u3059\u308b\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\uff08\u6cbb\u9a13\u306e\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u306a\u3069\uff09\u306f\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u7121\u4f5c\u70ba\u306b\u62bd\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5fc5\u9808\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306f\u3001\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u5b9f\u9a13\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u304b\u3089\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u5168\u4f53\u3078\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u63a8\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5834\u5408\u306e\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u6cbb\u7642\u6cd5\u304c\u3001\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u5168\u4f53\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3069\u306e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u306b\u898b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u306e\u3068\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u304b\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6570\u5024\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u3010\u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3011 \u4fe1\u983c\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u306f\u30d9\u30a4\u30ba\u7d71\u8a08\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306a\u5909\u6570\u2015\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u672a\u77e5\u306e\u8981\u7d20\u304c\u5b58\u5728 \u4e8b\u524d\u78ba\u7387\u2015\u5229\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u65e2\u5b58\u306e\u60c5\u5831 \u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u771f\u3089\u3057\u3055\u2015\u4eee\u8aac\u304c\u771f\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u507d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u306e\u78ba\u7387 p\u5024\uff08\u6709\u610f\u78ba\u7387\uff09\u3068\u306f\uff1f 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